Aidan Mchugh vs Shu Matsuoka Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Aidan Mchugh wins 44.06% of points on their second serve, whereas Shu Matsuoka wins 46.48%. Could second serve advantage tilt the result in Matsuoka's favor? Possibly.
• When returning second serves, Matsuoka edges out with 48.23%, compared to Mchugh's 45.16%.
• Interestingly, Mchugh is stronger at returning first serves, winning 28.80% of points compared to Matsuoka’s 23.80%.
• In pressure moments, Matsuoka saves 60% of breakpoints, while Mchugh manages to save 55.03%.
• Mchugh boasts a higher match win rate over the past year at 62.30%, whereas Matsuoka holds a 52.63% win rate.
• Reflecting on surfaces, Mchugh performs best on hard courts, with a 63% win rate. Likewise, Matsuoka’s top performance is on indoor hard courts, also at 63%.
• When playing on the Futures/Satellites/ITF $10K circuit, Mchugh has a higher win rate of 66% compared to Matsuoka’s 52.63%.
• Interestingly, Mchugh and Matsuoka have faced opponents with similar average ranks (Mchugh's opponents ranked at 441.51 on average, and Matsuoka's at 451.47).
• If the match progresses to a deciding set, Mchugh has a better record, winning 52% of such sets, while Matsuoka hasn't won any.

Editorial Prediction (November 6, 2025, UTC):

Both players display strengths across various metrics, with Shu Matsuoka showing a slight edge in key areas like second serve performance and breakpoint saving. However, Aidan Mchugh's stronger overall match win rate and better performance in deciding sets suggest a higher resilience.

Mchugh's proficiency on hard courts, coupled with a superior win rate in lower-tier tournaments, positions him favorably against similar-level competition.

Factor in Mchugh's stronger stats in high-pressure moments and he emerges as the likely winner of this match, given the current data and performance trends.